Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.860797 7.619788 8.499381 9.613199 11.015732 12.768107 15.203920
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.313283 7.379494 8.743934 10.699263 13.594104 18.074270 26.564192
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.058222 7.431655 9.370774 12.555110 18.344887 30.875818 79.504651
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.421134 6.853393 9.008932 12.909576 21.308305 47.344979 885.984479
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.129703 6.719020 9.305131 14.632770 29.601502 144.137071 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.807378 6.483112 9.398037 16.183883 42.247069 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.378696 6.006068 8.952423 16.377032 53.067929 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.975856 5.514946 8.377473 16.007535 62.723721 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.881149 5.542673 8.863444 19.285615 188.139403 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.917028 5.818468 10.027940 27.417771 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.806460 5.798490 10.523007 34.967601 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.654281 5.669875 10.705999 42.576304 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.406583 5.342289 10.331461 46.554078 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.193383 5.059538 10.017953 51.872353 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.061394 4.936266 10.191284 71.195143 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.820320 4.535412 9.303047 61.694061 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.691738 4.375749 9.217527 76.921791 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.559002 4.189094 8.980687 89.831852 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.393570 3.908041 8.322824 77.492382 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.235479 3.631261 7.634675 62.569898 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.188015 3.607831 7.879767 99.005471 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.189608 3.701794 8.646441 568.248990 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.140494 3.664742 8.872242 NaN NaN NaN NaN